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Upscale Kitchen Features That Can Boost A Home’s Value

November 17, 2021 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

Between preparing to host family and friends for Thanksgiving and making gift lists and checking them twice, the whirlwind of activities during the busy holiday season can feel more like a blast of arctic air than a hint of festive cheer.

Kitchens are put through the ultimate stress test on Thanksgiving, with every appliance and inch of countertop space pushed to the limit. However, certain kitchen features are not only better equipped to handle the pressures of entertaining a crowd, they could increase a home’s sale price when it comes time to move.

Steam oven: Of the more than 220 features or design elements Zillow researched, steam ovens topped the 2021 list of home features that sell. When this trendy appliance is mentioned in listing descriptions, those homes can sell for 4.9% more than similar homes without one.

“Steam — usually combined with convection — fuels a powerful cooking appliance that can enhance a kitchen designed for wellness,” says Jamie Gold, author of Wellness by Design. “A combi-steam oven offers health benefits and functionality. It cooks food with reduced fat and better-preserved nutrients, and allows home cooks to multitask and get food on the table quickly. This popular appliance type will perfectly cook protein, vegetable sides and pie at the same time.”

Butcher block: This is the only countertop material that can also serve as a cutting surface, which comes in handy when cooking for a crowd. Buyers snap up homes that include butcher block in their listing descriptions nearly four days faster and for 2.7% more than expected.

Smart appliances: Tech-connected kitchen appliances allow cooks to control everything from their grocery list to a dish’s cooking time, all from their phone or tablet. Smart refrigerators can send homeowners a text message to let them know they have run out of milk, while smart ovens can monitor how the turkey is cooking and automatically shift to warming mode when it’s done.

When it’s time to move, homes with smart appliances can sell for 3% more than expected.

Quartz: Homes with this durable countertop material can sell for 3.2% more than expected, and for good reason, according to Gold.

“Quartz, also called engineered stone, offers a low-maintenance kitchen work surface ideal for busy households and Thanksgiving meal prep,” Gold explained. “This countertop material has grown in popularity for its heat, stain and scratch resistance, and for increasingly realistic stone looks. Quartz’s nonporous properties make it an ideal surface when handling raw turkey or eggs, because it won’t harbor bacteria.”

Dual-fuel range: This stove offers the best of both worlds for home cooks with a gas cooktop and an electric oven. Electric ovens can offer more consistent results for baking, ensuring the Thanksgiving mac and cheese or pumpkin pie is evenly browned. A gas cooktop heats quickly and offers more precise temperature control for cooking cranberry sauce and gravy.

Home buyers also eat up this feature, and can spend 2.2% more on properties that include mention of a dual-fuel range in their listing descriptions.

Wine fridge: Extra beverage storage is always helpful when serving a crowd, and a wine fridge can chill much more than just wine. Plus, homes with this useful feature can sell for 1.7% more and nearly two days faster than expected.

Pot filler: A pot filler installed over a cooktop or range swings out from the wall and extends over a pot, making it easy to fill when preparing to cook pasta or boil potatoes, saving cooks the trouble of carrying a heavy pot of water from the sink to the stove. Plus, Zillow research finds this faucet can contribute to homes selling for 1.5% more.

Touchless faucet: With health and safety top of mind for today’s buyers, homes with touchless faucets can sell nearly two days faster than expected and for 0.6% more. Motion-activated technology turns on the kitchen faucet, making for easier Thanksgiving cleanup and preventing the spread of bacteria and viruses.

There are many factors that contribute to the speed of a home’s sale and to its sale price, and installing these kitchen amenities does not guarantee or definitively cause a home’s ultimate sale price to rise. Instead, these features contribute to a buyer’s overall positive impression of a home, and in turn, the buyer’s willingness to pay more for that home.

And one more note: If these features just happen to deliver a dry turkey and burned pumpkin pie, consider a pizza oven, which can contribute to a 3.4% sale premium.

“The kitchen has long been the heart of the home and it’s become even more important this past year,” says Amanda Pendleton, Zillow’s home trends expert. “As a result, pandemic-era home buyers appear willing to pay a premium for high-end kitchen amenities. Homeowners who plan to put their home on the market would be wise to flaunt these features if they’ve got them. But resale aside, these value-boosting features also increase a kitchen’s functionality, especially during the holidays.”

By:

Brenda Richardson

Filed Under: Issaquah Real Estate Tagged With: Home Improvement, Home ownership, Home Trends, Issaquah Real Estate, Selling your home, Smart Appliances, Upscale Kitchen

Seattle area’s home prices take biggest-ever 12-month leap

July 7, 2021 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

A ferry departs Edmonds, part of Snohomish County’s rapidly climbing housing market, in November. Home prices in the Seattle metro area and around the country continue to increase steadily. (Ken Lambert / The Seattle Times)

What a difference just two years can make.

Around this time in 2019, Seattle-area home prices had dipped and price growth nationwide was slowing.

Cut to 2021: Seattle has clocked another month as one of the hottest American housing markets as home prices here and nationwide climb at a record-breaking pace.

Single-family home prices in the Seattle metro area were up 20.2% in April from a year earlier, the region’s biggest-ever 12-month leap, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index released Tuesday. (The index lags by two months and reflects portions of King, Pierce and Snohomish counties.)

Travis Meidell, who works in tech and bought a home in Lake Stevens this spring, said the local housing market felt like it “got more competitive” over the course of his home search that stretched from 2020 into this spring. “It became more cutthroat.”

Prices climbed faster in Seattle than nationwide even as costs nationally jumped 14.6%, “literally the highest reading in more than 30 years of S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller data,” said S&P Managing Director Craig Lazzara in a statement.

For more than a year, a flood of buyer demand, a tight supply of homes and super-low interest rates have fueled wild growth in housing markets all over the country. While there are some recent signs buyer demand could finally be slipping, things were still red-hot in April.

The frenzied market has laid bare the vast divide of pandemic experiences, with many low-wage workers losing jobs early in the outbreak while others worked from home and tech stocks soared. Rising housing costs could also exacerbate racial gaps in homeownership. A recent Redfin survey found that Black homeowners were more likely than white homeowners to have made financial sacrifices, like taking on an extra job, in order to afford their first home.

Among major metro areas in April, only Phoenix and San Diego saw quicker year-over-year growth than Seattle, both at roughly 22%, according to the Case-Shiller index. The index reports a three-month rolling average of home prices.

Not everywhere in the Seattle area has seen the same trends. Many of the toughest markets to buy a home in recent months have been outside Seattle proper.

In April and May, home prices were up between 17% and 22% year-over-year in parts of Snohomish and Pierce counties, compared with jumps between 9% and 11% in Seattle, according to Zillow. Hot spots included Snohomish, Mill Creek and Lake Stevens in Snohomish County and Parkland in Pierce County.

All that competition has left homebuyers feeling the pressure.

Kristen Mandery, who grew up in Edmonds, has watched the sizzling market with a front-row view as she searched in recent months for a new house to be close to her mom.

The first house for which she submitted an offer went to another buyer for $400,000 over its list price, the second for $375,000 over. She finally secured her new house in an off-market deal and paid about $25,000 over the list price.

“I’ve lived in this area over 40 years and I’ve never ever seen the housing market like this,” Mandery said.

When Meidell began searching, he and his wife hoped to buy in Edmonds but prices there eventually stretched beyond their reach, he said. They instead bought farther north in Lake Stevens, settling for a longer commute and paying about $90,000 over the five-bedroom home’s list price to compete against other buyers.

As the couple searched for a new house, Meidell said he set up a search with filters for his budget and other parameters. The options seemed to get slimmer before his eyes.

“Every week you could watch the dots just rapidly disappear,” Meidell said. “It was this continuous state of anxiety: If I don’t do this, eventually there will be nothing left.”

Just how long can all this last?

New data on local home sales to be released next week will show whether demand has begun to slow in Western Washington.

Nationally, CoreLogic Deputy Chief Economist Selma Hepp predicted Tuesday that price increases will stay in the double digits through the rest of this year.

Hepp argues that although jaw-dropping price jumps may feel reminiscent of the 2008 crash, “mortgage interest rates remain 50% lower than they were in 2005, when home price growth last peaked, keeping the ratio of mortgage payments to monthly households income lower today.”

By 

Heidi Groover 
Seattle Times business reporter

Filed Under: Issaquah Community Blog Tagged With: Competing offers, Home Prices, Home Trends, Low Inventory, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate

Five Ways The Pandemic Has Influenced Interior Design Trends In 2020

October 13, 2020 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

The pandemic has changed life as we know it in every way, but especially how we live in our homes. In a short period, the home has become a place to work, exercise, relax, and even attend school. This has been the single biggest influence on design trends this year.

While many people have moved or are beginning to renovate, most of us are simply doing the best with what we have. After all, due to shutdowns, shortages, and demand for design-related services, there really isn’t an alternative. From the reality of COIVD life, to creating as pleasant an environment as possible, here are five ways the pandemic has influenced interior design trends in 2020.

Open Floor Plans Are On The Way Out

Had most homeowners, real estate agents, and interior designers been asked in January if they thought the open concept was here to stay, the answer would likely have been a resounding yes. But if you asked the same group in September, the answer might have been a little different. While open floor plans aren’t falling entirely out of fashion, they’re no longer as practical and desirable as they once were. “[My clients] still want big kitchens that open on to a family room—but home offices, outdoor spaces, and Zoom rooms (or at least a dedicated space for Zoom meetings) are big on wish lists,” interior designer Caitlin Scanlon of Caitlin Scanlon Design tells me.

Gavin Brodin of Brodin Design Build has received similar feedback. His clients have been looking for ways to create luxury upgrades to transform their homes into sanctuaries with amenities like meditation and massage rooms as well as secret gardens. But they want to limit the amount of money they spend on these projects. “During this time, many clients need to stay on a budget, so it’s a challenge to make a space beautiful and stay within a practical budget,” he tells me.

But the pandemic has truly had the biggest impact on those living in smaller spaces such as apartments. “All of the activities that we’re doing at home have kind of changed the game a little bit,” says Home Director of Apartment Therapy, Danielle Blundell. “[We’re] looking to actually have defined spaces again, and some semblance of privacy and compartmentalization for things like working from home, exercising and people being home at the same time and taking calls.”

Blundell has also noticed that when it comes to sectioning off spaces— people are becoming a lot more creative, using everything from divider screens to curtains and partitions to carve out dedicated zones.

Home Offices Are Now Just Offices

While some people have gone back to their regular offices at least part of time, most of us are still working from home, including CEO and founder of Manna Kadar Cosmetics, Manna Kadar. She has no plans to return and wants her employees to remain home as well. “We will eventually get back into the office in the safest way possible, but we have adapted to this new normal and won’t rush into it,” she tells me.

Manna Kadar's home office

Manna Kadar’s home office

MANNA KADAR

Kadar has also used this time to make a few upgrades to her home office “It’s been important to make my at-home working environment just as beautiful as my office: an aesthetically pleasing clean, private area to focus!”

In addition to rearranging her furniture, Kadar added additional warm neutral elements and plants to the space. She also likes to work with her pets by her side.

Virtual Interior Design Is Booming

Lisa Landers, stylist, and owner of Swirl, a popular southern California clothing boutique chain closed on her new home just as the shutdown was beginning. She needed new furniture and realized that using a virtual interior design service wasn’t just a practical choice, it was essentially her only choice because all the stores were closed.

“Modsy seemed like the next best option,” she tells me. “After submitting multiple photos of our space, links to furniture we already had that we wanted to incorporate, and filling out a thorough design questionnaire, our beautiful plans were submitted to our inbox.”

Landers collaborated with her designer over the phone, as well as online. “We could swap out pieces in the actual plans and see exactly how they would look in our space.”

She ended up incredibly happy with the results. “We loved this experience so much that we would do it again.”

But virtual interior design isn’t limited to using services like Modsy, or it’s major competitor Havenly. Scalon, along with many other independent interior designers is getting plenty of requests for Zoom consultations and e-design services.

Happiness Is A Decorating Choice

It’s not a surprise that many people are trying to create uplifting moods environments in their homes right now. This is especially true when it comes to decor and accessories. “Maybe it’s a wallpaper with a vibrant pattern or a ceramic face that’s sort of a silly, squiggle shape. It’s nostalgia that could be a retro-inspired refrigerator or even a modern quilt. It can be that things can touch every room in the home, and furnishings that just bring you comfort and joy,” says Blundell.

While we’re not exactly saying bye to black, rich pops of color are very much on-trend right now. For example, Scanlon’s clients have requested bolder hues. “After hunkering down looking at the same (mostly white walls) I’m using a lot saturated paint colors—moody for some rooms, bright and uplifting for others. Clients are craving variety in their experience of home!

Retailers including Alix Greenberg, who is the founder of ArtSugar have also noticed an increase in demand for bright, kitschy items. “My customers want things that are happy and uplifting! And I understand this too! Because while we are all stationed at home, there is nothing like a pop of color on your wall to make your day a little brighter.”

During the pandemic, ArtSugar’s top selling products have been their bright and colorful acrylic trays, as well as acrylic mountable smilie faces and gem stone wall art. In addition to that, the Home Sweet Home Cutting Board has also been incredibly popular.

Home Is More Important Than Ever 

Being forced to stay at home has made many of us realize just how important interior design really is. “I personally was able to realize how much I could do from home within my own business,” says Landers. “With Amazon, virtual meetings, workouts, and food delivery it really made being at home all the time more palatable and we are willing to invest more into making it our sanctuary because home is not only where the heart is…it’s where everything is now.”

By: Amanda Lauren

Forbs

 

Filed Under: Issaquah Community Blog Tagged With: Home Office, Home Trends, Interior Design, Pandemic

The 4 Key Trends Home Buyers and Sellers Should Watch in 2019

December 12, 2018 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

We’re entering the home stretch of 2018, when you can actually say, “See you next year!” to someone you’ll see in just a few weeks. It’s a time to look ahead, to make new plans, to achieve new dreams.

And if those dreams include buying your own home, you should keep an eye on the ever-changing tides of the housing market. Now, markets are like the weather: You can’t entirely predict how they will act, but you canget a sense of the forces that will push things in one direction or another.

The realtor.com® economic research team analyzed a wealth of housing data to come up with a forecast of what 2019 might hold for home buyers and sellers—and it looks like both groups are going to be facing some challenges.

Here are the top four takeaways. For more information, see the full realtor.com® 2019 forecast.

1. We’ll have more homes for sale, especially luxury ones

We’ve been chronicling the super-tight inventory of homes for sale for several years now. Yes, homes have been hitting the market, but not enough to keep up with the demand. Nationwide, inventory actually hit its lowest level in recorded history last winter, but this year it finally started to recover. We’re expecting to see that inventory growth continue into next year, but not at a blockbuster rate—less than 7%.

While this is welcome news for buyers who’ve been sidelined, sellers must confront a new reality.

“More inventory for sellers means it’s not going to be as easy as it has been in past years—it means they will have to think about the competition,” says Danielle Hale, realtor.com‘s chief economist.

“It’s still going to be a very good market for sellers,” she adds, “but if they’ve had their expectations set by listening to stories of how quickly their neighbor’s home sold in 2017 or in 2018, they may have to adjust their expectations.”

Although next year’s inventory growth is expected to be modest nationwide, pricier markets will tell a different story. In these markets—which typically have strong economies (read: high-paying jobs)—most of the expected inventory growth will come from listings of luxury homes.

We’re expecting to see the biggest increases in high-end inventory in the metro areas of San Jose, CA; Seattle, WA; Worcester, MA; Boston, MA; and Nashville, TN. All of those metro markets, which may include neighboring towns, could see double-digit gains in inventory in 2019.

2. Affording a home will remain tough

It’s no secret that home sellers have been sitting pretty for the past several years. But is the tide about to change in buyers’ favor?

“In some ways, life is going to be easier for home buyers; they’ll have more options,” Hale says. “But life is also going to be more difficult for home buyers, because we expect mortgage rates to continue to increase, we expect home prices to continue to increase, so the pinch that they’re feeling from affordability is going to continue to be a pain point moving into 2019.”

Hale predicts that mortgage rates, now hovering around 5%, will reach around 5.5% by the end of 2019. That means the monthly mortgage payment on a typical home listing will be about 8% higher next year, she notes. Meanwhile, incomes are only growing about 3% on average. That double whammy is toughest on first-time home buyers, who tend to borrow the most heavily and who don’t have any equity in a current home to draw on.

3. Millennials will still dominate home buying

Just a few years ago, millennials were the new kids on the block, just barely old enough to buy their own homes. Now they’re the biggest generational group of home buyers, accounting for 45% of mortgages (compared with 17% for baby boomers and 37% for Gen Xers). Some of them are even moving on up from their starter homes.

As we mentioned above, things will be tough for those first-time buyers. But the slightly older move-up buyers will reap the benefits of both their home equity and the increased choices in the market.

And regardless of whether they’re part of that younger set starting a career or the older set that’s starting a family, “they’re going to be more price-conscious than any other generation,” says Ali Wolf, director of economic research at Meyers Research.

That’s because they typically are still carrying student debt and want to be able to spend on experiences, like travel. That takes away from the funds they can put aside for a down payment, or a monthly mortgage payment.

“They want to maintain a certain lifestyle, but they still see the value in owning a home,” Wolf says.

So they might compromise on distance from an urban center, or certain amenities, or space—70% of millennial homeowners own a residence that’s less than 2,000 square feet, Wolf notes.

There’s plenty of time to expand those portfolios, though, as millennials’ housing reign is just beginning: This group is likely to make up the largest share of home buyers for the next decade. The year 2020 is projected to be the peak for millennial home buying—the bulk of them will be age 30.

4. The new tax law is still a wild card

At the time of last year’s forecast, the GOP’s proposed revision of the tax code was still being batted around Congress. While there was talk that it might discourage people from buying a home, no one really knew how it might affect the real-estate market.

This year … well, we still don’t really know. That’s because most taxpayers won’t be filing taxes under the new law until April 2019. And while some people might have a savvy tax adviser giving them a better idea of what’s in store, for many, the reality check will come in the form of a bigger tax bill—or a bigger refund.

Renters are likely to have lower tax bills, but might not be tempted to buy while affordability remains a challenge, and with the new, increased standard deduction reducing the appeal of the homeowner’s mortgage-interest deduction.

“I think the new tax plan will affect mostly homeowners and home buyers in the upper parts of the distribution,” says Andrew Hanson, associate professor of economics at Marquette University in Milwaukee, WI. “Those who either own or are buying higher-priced homes are going to pay a lot more.”

Sellers of those pricier homes will also take a hit, as buyers anticipating bigger tax bills won’t be as willing to pony up for a high list price.

The biggest change resulting from the new tax law, Hanson predicts, will be in mortgages, since people will be less inclined to take out large mortgages.

“If anyone is going to be upset about the tax plan, it’ll be mortgage bankers,” he says.

—Allison Underhill contributed to this report. 

By Cicely Wedgeworth

Filed Under: Issaquah Lifestyle Blog Tagged With: 2019 Trends, Affordable Homes, Home Inventory, Home Trends, Real Estate

Nearly 1 in 7 homes in Seattle now worth at least $1 million

November 19, 2018 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

This $2,748,000 home has five bedrooms four baths four fireplaces and four garage spaces.  It was originally built in 1938 but has just gone through construction (image: Joshua Lewis)

SEATTLE — A growing number Seattleites can consider themselves as million-dollar homeowners as housing prices continue to climb in the region.

Seattle is now ranks 10th among U.S. metro areas for percentage of homes worth $1 million or more, according to a newly-released study by Trulia. In 2018, 13.3 percent of all homes in the city are worth at least seven figures, up from 11.8 percent last year. The median house price stands at just under $565,000, Trulia says.

We’re still a far cry from the Bay Area though, where 81 percent of homes in San Francisco and 70 percent of homes in San Jose are worth $1 million or more. Oakland checks in third at 30.7 percent, Truila says. Seattle’s 13.3 percent just a little behind Los Angeles at 13.9 percent.

And Seattle’s million dollar homes aren’t just clumped in one or two spots. Trulia found out of the city’s 95 neighborhoods, 10 of them are classified as “million dollar neighborhoods” where more than half the homes are worth $1 million or more.

But Seattle’s not the only city in the region with million dollar homes. Trulia finds that Bellevue has the highest percentage in the region of Million Dollar Neighborhoods. Of the 23 Bellevue neighborhoods identified by Trulia, nine are over the $1 million mark– three more than just two years ago. That’s 39 percent of all the city’s neighborhoods.

Other cities noted with at least one million-dollar neighborhood: Kirkland (5 out of 15), and Shoreline (2 out of 14). San Francisco, as mentioned, is pretty much million dollar city with 87 out of 102 neighborhoods having 50 percent or more million dollar homes.

Nationally, the share of homes worth $1 million or more has doubled since 2012 from 1.5 percent of all homes to 3.6 percent today.

 

Filed Under: Eastside Real Estate Blog, First Time Homeowner, Home Value, Housing Market, Issaquah Real Estate, King County home prices, Seattle, What's Trending Tagged With: Home ownership, Home Trends, Home value boosts, Trending Topics

Conditions are perfect for the real estate market in Seattle to cool some

October 23, 2018 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

October will be the last month with good inventory — so now’s as good a time as any to buy

Summer is over, but the real estate market is just catching up.

The heyday for the market is typically between May and October, when the sunshine makes for nice pictures and easy open houses. Which means that the final month is here to take advantage of the housing market before the fall drop-off.

“Over the winter, new monthly resale listings will lower by approximately 50 percent compared to summer months,” J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate, said in the latest Northwest Multiple Listing

Services report, noting that it’s been quite a season for Seattle’s market.

“The housing market close to the job centers has gone from a historic extreme-frenzy market in the spring down a few levels of hotness to a strong level of pending sales activity for new listings.”

Which is true; the Seattle 2018 real estate “season” came in like a lion and seems to be going out like a lamb: Housing inventory continued to improve in September, while the pace of sales has slowed in many counties.

Some balance has been restored to the market — across the NWMLS system, last month ended with 2.56 months of supply of single-family homes and condos. And though that’s not perfect (analysts prefer somewhere between four and six months of supply for a truly balanced market between sellers and buyers) it’s the highest level since February 2015, when brokers reported 3.56 months of inventory.

“This is a more traditional yearly market cycle taking the place of the unusually overheated real estate market of the past several years,” said John Deely, principal managing broker at Coldwell Banker Bain, in the NWMLS report.

“Given there doesn’t appear to be any end in sight related to the region’s job growth, with employees moving here and not enough units being built to accommodate them, we believe this market normalization will continue.”

In a normal market, October marks a steep drop-off in inventory as winter doldrums settle in; at this same time last year, analysts were also wondering if Seattle was going through a cool-down.

Scott’s advice then was about the same as it is now: “October will be the best month for selection and availability until late February.”

Get in while the getting’s good, Seattle buyers.

By Zosha Millman, SeattlePI

Filed Under: A little bit of Trivia, Eastside Real Estate Blog, Fall Changes, Home Value, Homeownership, Hottest housing markets, Housing Market, Investing in Real Estate, Issaquah Lifestyle Blog, Issaquah Real Estate, King County home prices, What's Trending Tagged With: Home ownership, Home Trends, Trending Topics

Slowing real estate might let us catch our breath — or knock the wind out of us

October 18, 2018 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

Last year Seattle ranked first in a widely watched report on markets with an strong outlook for real estate. This year it’s not in the top 10. (Greg Gilbert / The Seattle Times)

An important real estate forecast knocks Seattle out of the top 10 booming markets. We still rank well, but some risks are also gathering.

If you read my colleague Mike Rosenberg, you already know that segments of the Seattle real-estate market are slowing.

We have an apartment glut thanks to heavy investment in multifamily housing coming out of the Great Recession. Sales and inventory numbers for homes in King County are back to 2012 levels. Prices are dropping many places after record leaps in recent years.

Last week came further evidence: For the first time in about a decade, Seattle wasn’t among the top 10 markets for the coming year in the “Emerging Trends in Real Estate” report by the Urban Land Institute and PricewaterhouseCoopers. Last year, we were No. 1.

The report focuses on the Seattle-Bellevue area, setting Tacoma (No. 53) out separately. And it doesn’t directly correlate with livability. Rather, it assesses investment and development trends, and for several years has chronicled the rise of high-quality urban centers.

Many people will see this as all good news, a pause from explosive growth that has also been blamed for lower affordability, rising inequality and social ills. I would add that markets go down as well as up, and every swing creates winners and losers.

Still, while Seattle’s growth isn’t stopping, going from the equivalent of 90 miles per hour to 50 would be felt, and in some unpleasant ways, too.

“Emerging Trends” is the gold standard in real-estate forecasts, based on interviews and surveys of hundreds of leading developers, investors and lenders.  It provides a deep analysis of the outlook for residential, retail, office, hotel and industrial properties, as well as the wider economic environment.

For next year, the top overall markets according to the ULI study are Dallas-Fort Worth, Brooklyn, Raleigh-Durham, Orlando, Nashville, Austin, Boston, Denver, Charlotte and Tampa-St. Petersburg.

At No. 16, Seattle still shows a decent outlook among the 79 markets surveyed. We rank No. 20 in homebuilding prospects. And second, behind Boston, in local market attractiveness for investors. Office demand is expected to continue doing well in the central business district. Being No. 1 isn’t everything. I’d take Seattle over almost any city among the top 10. But Seattle dropping off might mark an inflection point — emphasis on “might.”

The report also offers this caution about Seattle’s drop: “Seattle is still viewed as an attractive place in which to invest, but did media coverage of potential new supply being delivered and increased regulatory discussions sway the opinion of survey respondents?”

(I’d say the news coverage reflected real events and trends.)

Seattle’s population is expected to keep growing, next year at twice the national rate.  Hard as it is to process, Seattle also gets relatively good marks for housing affordability within the context of the Pacific Coast (Tacoma does even better). Demand remains strong for distribution space, too.  The report points to a local economy operating near capacity (e.g. employment) as a constraint on real-estate investment next year.

“This is evidenced by the comments from focus group participants in Seattle and Portland that attracting qualified labor is getting more difficult and could be hurting employment growth,” it reads. The unemployment rate for Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue was 3.6 percent in August.  Assuming the larger economic climate is stable, we can expect Seattle to go from “hot” to “warm.”  Even so, a pullback in construction would be felt, and not just by speculators.

Being the crane capital of America was part of the enormous construction boom during this expansion. It put hundreds of millions of dollars into the city treasury. This has helped finance low-income housing and social services.

On the other hand, the economy is never static. Risks abound nationally and internationally, from trade battles and asset bubbles to new vulnerability in the banking sector. Geopolitical instability is rising. So are interest rates.

The past week’s wobbly stock market was centered in nervousness about potential inflation — enough at least to cut into profit margins. Popular tech stocks, including Amazon, were among the shares roughed up.  Nobody has repealed the business cycle, so this second-longest expansion in modern American history shouldn’t be taken for granted.  A veteran asset manager quoted in “Emerging Trends” says, “2019 will be a turning-point year.  I think about the capital markets correction that is coming. We have been used to easy money and very low rates for so long. Now is the time to harvest, to hedge, to be cautious.”

Seattle specifically has yet to see how a “separate, equal” HQ2 — yet to be announced — will affect it. Those effects could pinball to small-businesses, city tax revenues, vendors and even charitable giving, as well as hiring at the city’s largest employer.  The metro area would also be hurt by a stock market correction — not only in terms of lost wealth, but potential job cutbacks by companies in response.  But the stomach-knot scenarios might not happen. What we know is that real estate is slowing.  This boom has remade Seattle more dramatically than almost any since the Great Fire. It’s been a lightning rod for criticism, and not just from the social-justice warriors.

Too many classic Seattle three-story brick apartment buildings have been lost, diminishing lower-rent units for renters. Too many useful commercial buildings have been demolished for towers, annihilating affordable retail space and the human-scale delights of the city. Add in straight-up skyscrapers with no setbacks and little distance between them, plus loss of views toward the Space Needle.

I’ve watched these changes over a decade and wondered: Why does this happen in a supposedly progressive city?

Some will pour out corruption conspiracy theories. My guess about what happened is a combination of inattention to protection and design standards; addiction to construction fees; loss of imagination among architects, and political division — all happening as this firehose of demand came at us with great suddenness.  On the other hand, the real-estate boom has been pretty good to Seattle, and not only in terms of tax revenues.

On the commercial side, it’s been driven by demand from some of the top companies offering some of the best jobs. We’re not cursed by the desert of huge surface parking lots or store fronts emptied out by changing consumer patterns and online competition. Speculation is an element in rising housing prices, but demand was the big driver. Real estate and construction are significant employers.

In the America as it is, rather than what I might wish it to be, this is a gift horse that shouldn’t require obsessing over its dental work.  In the many left-behind localities — places without the bother of an Amazon headquarters — inequality and opportunity are worse than here and future prospects are dim. These include some of the once-greatest American cities.

Seattle has been lucky, and made its luck. Now we’ll see whether what’s happening in real estate is a natural downshifting or something more.

By 

Jon Talton
The Seattle Times

Filed Under: A little bit of Trivia, Eastside Real Estate Blog, Home Value, Homeownership, Housing Market, Issaquah Real Estate, King County home prices, Larry and Kathy Reichle, What's Trending Tagged With: Home ownership, Home Trends, Trending Topics

Four Ways Real Estate Can Boost Retirement Income

October 9, 2018 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

Even if you manage to sock away a fair amount in your 401(k) every year, it’s not unusual to worry that inflation may eat away at the value of your retirement portfolio. To reduce the likelihood of that happening, you can boost retirement income by investing in real estate.You’ll gain the added benefit of increased asset diversity and balance in your portfolio. And depending on which real estate investment option you pick, you could also create a retirement income stream that rises in tandem with inflation.

Let’s look at the pros and cons of common ways to invest in real estate:

1. Purchase shares in private lending pools.

2. Invest directly by purchasing rental property.

3. Buy shares in real estate investment trusts (REITs).

4. Cash out home equity.

1. Investing In Private Mortgage Funds: Pros And Cons

Private mortgage funds lend money to real estate flippers who buy, improve and resell properties. (Full disclosure: I am the CEO of one such lending organization.) Since the pool lends money to hundreds of flippers, risk is diversified across many deals.

As a borrower, you can also avoid risks you’d face if you tried to flip a single property yourself, like buying high and selling low, not knowing enough about renovations to do a good job or taking so long to finish the renovations that holding costs eat your profit.

Private mortgage funds are long-term, fixed-rate investments that aren’t as liquid as stocks and bonds. You typically need to commit to the investment for a set number of years and provide many months’ notice if you want to redeem your investment early. They’re also not traded on an exchange, so it’s important to vet the company offering the investment.

2. Direct Investment In Real Estate: Pros And Cons

Direct investment has many upsides. You can buy with relatively little cash, so it potentially has one of the highest returns on investment (ROI) of the three options. Independent home lenders offer investment property home loans with as little as 15% down, so you could buy a $200,000 property with $30,000 cash down. Let’s say home prices rise 5% next year. Your rental property is now worth $210,000, a 33% gain on your $30,000 investment.

Real estate also tends to move with inflation. As consumer prices rise, so do rents, making direct investment in real estate a solid hedge against inflation. Timing your rental property mortgages to pay off by the time you retire creates an inflation-hedged income stream.

Purchasing rental properties is a long-term investment with much less volatility than stocks. Home values change over years, not hours, like equities. After the real estate crisis, median home sale prices hit a low point of $148,000 in 2012. Six years later in mid-2018, the median home price was $231,000, according to Zillow data.

If you buy with a 15- to 30-year mortgage and don’t sell your rental property, home price changes won’t influence you. But if you do need to sell, it can take months, especially in a down market. And when home prices fall, rents may follow suit. The investment that was paying for itself can suddenly start costing money every month. When rents don’t generate enough income to cover taxes, insurance, repairs and the like, you’ll have to pay for those costs out-of-pocket.

Real estate also carries big transaction fees, like sales commissions and transfer taxes, that make it a costly investment to sell. A 6% sales commission on your $200,000 investment property will run you $12,000, quite a bit more than selling shares in a private loan fund or REIT.

3. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Pros And Cons

Real estate investment trusts (REITS) take money from shareholders to invest in real estate, such as residential or commercial properties, or mortgage-backed securities.

There are hundreds of REITs to choose from and since many are publicly traded, they’re as easy to buy and sell as stocks. The average return for all REITS since 1972 was about 9.7%, according to data from the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts.

Since REITs are fixed-income investments, their value may fall when interest rates rise. A REIT that invests heavily in a single class of real estate — say, strip shopping centers or retail malls — can be hurt when that property type falls out of favor. REITs that invest primarily in mortgage-backed securities can see their prices drop when interest rates rise because they hold securities with interest rates below current rates.

4. Cashing In Home Equity Pros And Cons

Since a whopping 78% of Americans own a home by age 65, according to Census Data, home equity may be one of the most consistent sources of retirement income opportunities. To cash out home equity, you have to either sell a home you’ve built equity in, refinance or take out a reverse mortgage.

Selling and moving to a less-expensive home would allow you to pocket up to $500,000 in profits tax-free (married, filing jointly). However, since millennials are postponing homeownership to a later point in life than prior generations, they may be less likely to own homes free and clear by the time they retire.

To do a cash-out refinance, you generally need to have income from investments or employment to show you can afford monthly payments. Reverse mortgages pay you either monthly or as a lump sum. The lender bases your payment on your current home value. You don’t have to repay a reverse mortgage until you sell your home, move out or pass away.

The fees on reverse mortgages can be significant and those seeking income early in retirement will find they typically don’t receive monthly reverse mortgage payments that are as high as those an older borrower can receive.

WRITTEN BY

Bobby Montagne

 

Filed Under: A little bit of Trivia, Housing Market, Investing, Investing in Real Estate, Issaquah Real Estate, Larry and Kathy Reichle, Retirement Income Tagged With: Home Trends, Real Estate Investment, Trending Topics

Late Boomers: How Seniors are Affecting the Housing Market

September 17, 2018 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

The baby boomers are entering their golden years and are poised to become the largest generation of retirees in the country’s history. Through their sheer numbers, boomers have impacted the nation’s economic trends. Now, as more of them enter their retirement years, this generation’s housing preferences will help determine the housing options available to younger people entering the market.

Not only are baby boomers the largest generation, but they also have different lifestyle preferences than previous generations. Baby boomers are working longer and delaying the home downsizing many have been expecting. While some observers think baby boomers are contributing to the inventory crunch by staying in place, others believe boomers are holding on to their homes to time the market and that a massive sell-off is on the horizon.

To better understand this demographic group, Trulia took a close look at the housing situation of seniors 65 and over now and a decade ago, as well as how senior households stack up in different metros. Of course, not all boomers are seniors yet—we define baby boomers as individuals born between 1945 and 1964, making them between 54 and 73 this year. However, we focus on changes in senior housing preferences over the last decade to offer insight into how boomers, who are starting to become seniors en masse, differ in their housing choices compared to previous generations.

We found that:

  • Senior households are delaying downsizing. They’re working longer and their kids are living with them more often compared with seniors a decade ago.
  • Senior households with no younger generations living with them—which include empty nesters— on average have two more bedrooms than people in their homes. Households under 65 on average only have one extra bedroom.
  • Places where housing inventory is most needed—the most unaffordable metros in the nation—aren’t the places where seniors are holding onto inventory. Like the rest of the population, seniors rent in these places at much higher rates and also have younger generations living with them more often. Unless they kick out the kids, they won’t be able to downsize.
  • Metros that have the most senior households that could potentially downsize—that is, those households that own their single family home and have no younger generations living with them—are among the most affordable in the nation. That may be evidence that boomers holding onto their homes is not driving up prices.

Delayed Gratification

Aging boomers are staying in place longer. As households move into their retirement years, some of them are downsizing—moving from owning to renting and from single family to multifamily homes. But, on average, boomers are staying in place longer than previous generations. Some observers worry they are taking up valuable home inventory in high-demand markets that would otherwise be snapped up by younger homebuyers. Of senior households, 83.4% live by themselves, with no younger generations. On average, this group has two more bedrooms than people living in the house—perhaps representing empty nesters whose kids have since moved out. That compares with just one extra bedroom for households under 65.

Characteristics of Senior Households
% of Senior Households 2005 2016
In Labor Force 15.9% 19.3%
Living Alone 85.2% 83.4%
Living with Younger Generation(s) 14.4% 16.1%

 

Baby boomers are staying in place longer because the life events that might cause them to downsize are being delayed. Seniors in recent years have adopted significantly different lifestyles than seniors even a decade ago. For one, they’re working longer. The proportion of household heads 65 and over who are still in the labor force rose to 19.3% in 2016 from 15.9% in 2005. What’s more, the kids are moving out later. Senior households living alone represented 83.4% in 2016, ticking down from 85.2% in 2005. In 2016, 16.1% of senior households had younger generations living with them, up from 14.4% in 2005. These factors mean senior households aren’t considering downsized housing options until later in life. In 2005, more senior households were moving into multifamily than single family housing by age 75. In 2016, this inflection point had shifted to age 80.

Senior Living by Metro

The areas where home supply is limited and affordability is low might appreciate an infusion of inventory from downsizing seniors. However, when looking at the nation’s top 100 metros, we don’t see evidence that boomers holding on to inventory is eroding affordability. Like the general population, seniors in expensive and unaffordable metros rent at much higher rates. Unaffordability also translates to higher levels of multigenerational living. The correlation between unaffordability and the percentage of senior households that could potentially downsize—those that live by themselves and own a single family home—is stark. The higher the income required to purchase the median home, the lower the proportion of senior households that could downsize (with a correlation coefficient of -0.73).

The metros with the highest portion of senior households in a position to downsize are in more affordable metros, including Knoxville, Tenn., Colorado Springs, Colo., and Dayton, Ohio. However, even in these metros, inventory has fallen steadily for the past several years. In Knoxville, inventory decreased 12.4% year over year during the second quarter of 2018, rounding out 12 straight quarters of falling inventory. With this prolonged inventory drought across the nation, these metros may very well welcome an increase in boomers listing their homes.

Power in Numbers

Although seniors appear to be delaying downsizing until later in life, as a group, households 65 and over are still downsizing at roughly the same rate as in years past—which is to say not that often. In 2016, 5.5% of households 65 and over moved, pretty evenly split between moves to single family (2.7%) and multifamily (2.4%) homes. In 2005, these percentages were virtually the same, with 5.5% of senior households moving, including 2.5% into single family and 2.5% into multifamily homes.

Still, because the boomer generation is so much larger than previous generations, that 5.5% moving rate translates into very different raw numbers across the years. There were about 7 million more senior households in 2016 than 2005, meaning 386,000 more senior households moved in 2016.

Of course, the ability of senior households to downsize depends on the availability of homes to downsize into. The acute shortage in starter home inventory can make it difficult for retirees to move to smaller homes. Not only are seniors not responsible for making inventory-scarce metros unaffordable, they’re feeling the inventory pinch themselves. Gen X-ers and millennials, especially in expensive coastal metros, are going to need more than downsizing boomers to alleviate the inventory crunch they are facing.

Methodology

We used 2005 and 2016 5-Year American Community Survey data for labor rates, household generation composition, moving rates, unit structure type, number of bedrooms, and tenure. Our analysis only looks at households that are not in “group quarters”, which would include retirement homes and nursing facilities. This means that our downsizing estimates are likely understated. Affordability is based on our inventory metrics from the second quarter of 2018, defined as the share of the median income needed to purchase the median priced home.

By Alexandra Lee

Filed Under: A little bit of Trivia, Baby Boomers, Education, First Time Homeowner, Home Value, Homeownership, Housing Market, Issaquah Lifestyle Blog, Issaquah Real Estate, Larry and Kathy Reichle, Retirement Tagged With: Baby Boomers, Home ownership, Home Trends, Housing Market, Trending Topics

Ready For Staging: 4 Repairs You Need Before Selling Your Home

September 10, 2018 by Kathy Reichle Leave a Comment

 

Selling your home is a complex process that may take weeks to complete. This is partially because your house may need to be updated or renovated before it can go on the market. What are some of the most crucial fixes that you should make before listing your property?

Update the Exterior

The first thing that you will want to do is make sure that the home’s exterior is in good condition. This may involve landscaping work such as removing trees or shrubs that are dead or dying. It may also involve inspecting the roof, siding or other exterior components that may need to be repaired or updated to make the house easier to sell. At the very least, a fresh coat of paint should be applied before putting the house on the open market.

Check the Air Conditioning

If you have a central air conditioning unit in your home, make sure that it works properly. This means that it should start easily and produce an even amount of cool air throughout the house.

Ideally, you will have it inspected once a year by someone like Doctor Fix-It. However, inspecting it and making repairs prior to selling your home should be considered mandatory. It may also be a good idea to check the furnace and clean the ducts before you show the home to buyers.

Make Sure the Floors Are Adequate

Whether your home has wood floors or carpet, make sure that they are in good condition. If necessary, wax and clean the wood or put down new carpet in areas where it may be frayed or dirty. If you are going to replace your carpet, make sure that it is the same color and style throughout a given space.

Check the Plumbing and Electrical Systems

Buyers aren’t going to want to put an offer on a home that has poor water pressure. They are also unlikely to want to make an offer on a home that has dangerous electrical wiring. If the fixes to either system are relatively minor, you can do them yourself. However, it may also be a good idea to call a professional to make sure that the job is done safely.

Selling your home can be a great way to help you downsize or lock in profits. However, if the process is not done right, it could reduce the sale price of the home or result in the home staying on the market longer than you anticipated that it would.

WRITTEN BY MEGHAN BELNAP

Filed Under: A little bit of Trivia, A Positive life, Curb Appeal, Getting Ready To Sell, Homeownership, Issaquah Real Estate, Larry and Kathy Reichle, Staging to sell your home Tagged With: Home ownership, Home Trends, Trending Topics

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